Boris Johnson suffers blow in Tory confidence vote

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Boris Johnson suffered a massive blow tonight as he limped home in the Tory confidence vote – despite 148 of his 359 MPs lining up against him.

The PM avoided the humiliation of outright defeat but rebels racked up big numbers in the secret ballot, raising fears that the Tories will be torn to pieces by a civil war.

He was backed by just 59 per cent of the parliamentary party – worse than the 63 per cent recorded by Theresa May when she faced a challenge. She was gone within six months. Three-quarters of MPs not serving as ministers or in other official posts went against the premier. 

How does Boris’s result compare to previous Tory confidence votes?

Boris Johnson – June 2022

211 votes in favour (59 per cent)

148 votes against (41 per cent)

Majority: 63

Theresa May – December 2018

200 votes in favour (63 per cent)

117 votes against (37 per cent)

Majority: 83

Iain Duncan Smith – October 2003

90 votes against (45.5 per cent)

75 votes for (55.5 per cent)

Majority: 15

John Major – July 1995

218 votes for (66 per cent)

89 votes for challenger John Redwood (27 per cent)

22 abstentions (seven per cent)

Majority: 129

Margaret Thatcher – November 1990

204 votes for (55 per cent)

152 votes for challenger Michael Heseltine (41 per cent)

16 abstentions (four per cent)

Majority: 52

Margaret Thatcher – December 1989

314 votes for (90.5 per cent)

33 votes for challenger Sir Anthony Meyer (9.5 per cent)

Majority: 281

Cabinet figures immediately tried to shore up Mr Johnson, branding the outcome a ‘handsome’ victory and urging rebels to ‘move on’.

But the bombshell result came despite Mr Johnson begging his troops not to do Keir Starmer’s work for him in a last-ditch speech, pointing out there is no obvious successor who would be better.   

It was the culmination of 13 hours of high drama, which began at 8am when backbench chief Graham Brady confirmed that the premier’s political enemies had reached the threshold of 54 letters to trigger a full confidence ballot.

During the day the number of declared rebels steadily ticked up, notably including rival Jeremy Hunt, John Penrose and John Lamont – the latter two quitting as anti-corruption tsar and ministerial aide respectively.

Scottish Tory leader Douglas Ross also completed the latest phase of his extraordinary flip-flopping by declaring he voted against the PM, having previously sent a letter to Sir Graham and then withdrawn it. But many others seem to have taken advantage of the secret ballot to plunge the knife in without breaking cover.

Red Wall MP Dehenna Davison and Tewkesbury MP Laurence Robertson were among those who declared they had voted against Mr Johnson.  

Mr Johnson will now need to calculate whether he has the political leverage to carry out a reshuffle that could start to restore his shattered authority.

However, the history of leaders surviving in the medium-term in the wake of confidence votes is not encouraging. 

Jubilant rebels insisted there is no way that Mr Johnson can now lead the party into the next general election. Another moment of extreme danger is coming down the tracks with by-elections in Wakefield and Tiverton on June 23.  

Sir Keir said Mr Johnson was ‘utterly unfit for the great office he holds’ and accused Tory MPs of ignoring the British public.

He said: ‘The Conservative Government now believes that breaking the law is no impediment to making the law.’

Education Secretary Nadhim Zahawi said Mr Johnson won the vote ‘handsomely’.

Speaking to Sky News in Westminster’s central lobby after the result was announced, the Education Secretary said: ‘I think the important thing to remember is that whichever side of the argument you’re on on this, the one thing we all believe in is democracy.

‘That was a ballot, the Prime Minister won handsomely,’ he added.

‘I think the important thing to remember is that we only are able to deliver if we are united. I hope we can draw a line under this now and focused on delivery.’

Pressed on how he can call the result ‘handsome’, Mr Zahawi said: ‘It’s a ballot. 50 plus one is a majority. Boris did much better than that.’

On another breathless day of chaos at Westminster:

  • The Cabinet launched an extraordinary media blitz designed to prop up the premier, insisting he had been right on the ‘big decisions’; 
  • More than a dozen Tory donors have lined up behind Mr Johnson saying a leadership contest would ‘waste precious time;  
  • Blue-on-blue tensions flared into open abuse with Nadine Dorries lashing out at Jeremy Hunt over his leadership ambitions; 
  • An unnamed Tory MP accused of rape will be able to vote because they have not been suspended from the whip;  
  • Labour and the Lib Dems gleefully seized on the shambles as they hope to win by-elections in Tiverton and Wakefield from the Conservatives.  
Boris Johnson has been hit with another resignation as Tory confidence votes began being counted tonight - despite begging MPs not to give Labour the keys to power by unseating him. The PM is pictured leaving the Commons after the vote

Graham Brady

Boris Johnson (left) faced a brutal blow as 148 MPs rebelled in a confidence vote tonight, with the result announced by 1922 chair Graham Brady (right) 

Mr Johnson addressed his mutinous troops this afternoon and told them successful 'fratricide' would gift Keir Starmer (pictured leaving Parliament this evening) and his party an election win

Mr Johnson addressed his mutinous troops this afternoon and told them successful ‘fratricide’ would gift Keir Starmer (pictured leaving Parliament this evening) and his party an election win

Jeremy Hunt

Former minister Jesse Norman accused the PM of 'grotesque' behaviour over Partygate in an excoriating letter to Conservative backbench chief Graham Brady

Former minister Jesse Norman (right) accused the PM of ‘grotesque’ behaviour over Partygate in an excoriating letter to Conservative backbench chief Graham Brady. Jeremy Hunt (left) – who lost the last leadership contest to Mr Johnson – tweeted saying that he will vote against the PM.

John Penrose, an MP who served as the premier's anti-corruption champion and husband of ex NHS Test and Trace chief Dido Harding, said he had 'no option' but to resign as Mr Johnson had broken the ministerial code. 'I think it's over,' he said

John Penrose, an MP who served as the premier’s anti-corruption champion and husband of ex NHS Test and Trace chief Dido Harding, said he had ‘no option’ but to resign as Mr Johnson had broken the ministerial code. ‘I think it’s over,’ he said

PM put a brave face on at Jubilee bash after learning about confidence vote

Boris Johnson put a brave face on at a Jubilee bash yesterday after learning about the looming confidence vote.   

The PM was notified of the challenge by Sir Graham Brady early yesterday afternoon, and they discussed the timetable for the vote.

He then attended the pageant with wife Carrie, seemingly without a care in the world. 

However, Mr Johnson is believed to have gathered close aides and election guru Lynton Crosby in No10 last night to consider his plan of attack. 

They decided to send personalised letters to all MPs, and play up the idea that he personally was the one who secured 14million votes at the 2019 election. 

Liz Truss and Michael Gove both tweeted their support for Mr Johnson.

The Foreign Secretary wrote: ‘Pleased that colleagues have backed the Prime Minister.

‘I support him 100 per cent. Now’s the time to get on with the job.’

The Housing Secretary said it is time to ‘focus on the people’s priorities’ now that the Prime Minister has ‘secured’ the trust of his MPs.

Mr Gove wrote: ‘The PM has secured the support of Conservative MPs – now we must carry out what we were elected to deliver – levelling up, cutting crime, securing the benefits of Brexit and improving public services.’

‘Let’s get on with delivery and focus on the people’s priorities.’

Ms Dorries said it is ‘time to get back to the job of governing’.

The Conservative MP for Mid Bedfordshire tweeted: ‘The person Starmer doesn’t want to face at an election is Boris Johnson who secured the biggest Conservative majority since 1987 and the highest share of the vote (43.6 per cent) of any party since 1979, with 14 million votes.

‘Time to get back to the job of governing.’

But Sir Roger Gale, an outspoken critic of the Prime Minister who voted ‘no confidence’, said he still thinks Mr Johnson should not take the party into the next election.

Speaking to Sky News about whether this means the issue is settled, Sir Roger said: ‘Unfortunately, the issue can’t be settled like that.

‘Over a third of the Parliamentary party has expressed no confidence in the Prime Minister.’

He added that MPs have ‘a job to do’ and that he is ‘not one of those who believes in a vote strike’.

Asked if he thinks Boris Johnson should continue as Prime Minister, he said: ‘No, I’ve expressed my view very clearly.

‘I don’t believe that he should take the party into the next general election and I think there are other elephant traps down the road – two by-elections coming up, the Privileges Committee report in the autumn – there are a lot of hurdles ahead and I think a Prime Minister of honour would look at the figures, accept the fact that he has lost the support of a significant proportion of his party and consider his position, but I don’t think he’ll do that.’

After almost the entire Cabinet took to the airwaves urging MPs to allow more time, Mr Johnson addressed a meeting of the 1922 Committee this afternoon warning them successful ‘fratricide’ would be a gift to Labour and the Lib Dems.

MPs cast their votes between 6pm and 8pm, forming long queues outside the ballot station in the depths of the Commons, before the result was announced at 9pm.

 Mr Johnson made a final plea for unity at the meeting of the parliamentary party, telling them he is the only leadership option with a ‘credible plan’ for how to move forward. 

‘I’ve yet to see a credible plan from anyone else,’ he said in a a 26-minute behind-closed-doors appearance. ‘I will lead you to victory again.’

The PM also faced some hostile questions, but insisted Conservatives should not waste time on ‘a pointless fratricidal debate about the future of the party’. MPs said he made a vague allusion to tax cuts – being demanded by many Tories – but was ‘not specific’.

He risked stoking Partygate fury by insisting he was right to attend leaving dos in Downing Street and would ‘do it again’. There were cheers when senior backbencher Charles Walker said Mr Johnson had ‘driven him wild’ at times.

Outside the meeting, a senior Tory source caused a storm by swiping that the media should find ‘other interesting things to talk about’ than the row over Whitehall lockdown breaches. ‘Is there anyone here who hasn’t got p***ed in their lives?’ the source told waiting journalists. ‘Is there anyone here who doesn’t like a glass of wine.’ 

More than half of the 359 eligible MPs backing him in the secret vote means in theory he is safe for a year – with some insurgents fearing they moved too early ahead of key by-elections later this month.

Cabinet ministers were insisting beforehand that a single vote would be enough.  

Tory enforcers spent the day cajoling the rank-and-file, with chief whip Chris Heaton-Harris sending out a round-robin message to MPs offering to do proxy votes on their behalf. Politicians have also been warned by Sir Graham that their ballots will be void if they take photographs of papers – in an effort to prevent pressure tactics.

In a statement this evening, Mr Ross completed another extraordinary U-turn over his stance on Mr Johnson. 

How did the day of drama at Westminster play out? 

8am: 1922 committee chair Graham Brady announced that a confidence vote will be held

4pm: Boris Johnson addressed Tory MPs pleading for them to support him

6pm-8pm: Votes were cast in the confidence ballot

9pm: Results were announced 

‘Having listened closely to people in Moray who re-elected me to represent them, and from many people across Scotland, now that this confidence vote is upon us, I cannot in good faith support Boris Johnson,’ he said. ‘My vote tonight will support the motion of no confidence.’ 

John Penrose, a usually-loyal MP who served as the premier’s anti-corruption champion, said he had ‘no option’ but to resign as Mr Johnson had broken the ministerial code. ‘I think it’s over,’ he said.

Meanwhile, Mr Hunt – who lost the last leadership contest to Mr Johnson – tweeted saying that he will vote against the PM.

‘Anyone who believes our country is stronger, fairer & more prosperous when led by Conservatives should reflect that the consequence of not changing will be to hand the country to others who do not share those values. Today’s decision is change or lose. I will be voting for change,’ he wrote. 

There was speculation that more senior figures might quit to join the insurrection, with trade minister Penny Mordaunt seen as on ‘resignation watch’. She tweeted today that she is in her Portsmouth constituency for a D-Day anniversary commemoration – but pointedly did not offer full-throated backing for the premier. 

Mr Johnson attempted to show he was getting on with the job with pictures of him on the phone to Ukraine’s President Zelensky. 

And in letters to MPs – which he is said to have spent an hour signing by hand – he insisted: ‘With your support, I believe that tonight we have a great prize within our grasp… We can get on with the job without the noises off.’

The premier received a limited boost from a snap poll by Opinium showing that although voters overall want Tories to oust him, Conservative supports would rather keep him on by a margin of 53 per cent to 34 per cent.

A YouGov poll of Tory members found they would prefer him to stay on by 53 per cent to 42 per cent. 

Cabinet ministers rallied round this morning, with Rishi Sunak pledging his support, and Foreign Secretary Liz Truss saying he has her ‘100 per cent backing’. Deputy PM Dominic Raab and Michael Gove also stood by him, while Culture Secretary Nadine Dorries said: ‘If he got a majority of one, that’s enough to move on.’

In a vicious riposte to Mr Hunt on social media, Ms Dorries said: ‘Your handling of the pandemic would have been a disaster. 

‘Your pandemic preparation during six years as health secretary was found wanting and inadequate. Your duplicity right now in destabilising the party and country to serve your own personal ambition, more so…

‘If you had been leader you’d have handed the keys of No10 to Corbyn. You’ve been wrong about almost everything, you are wrong again now.’ 

Ex-Cabinet minister David Davis cautioned that Mr Johnson’s problems ‘won’t go away’ if there is ‘anything less than a two thirds majority’, although he will ‘hang on’.

‘You may remember after Theresa May won her first vote actually… moderately comfortably, she accepted that her time was was limited. 

‘Her days were numbered, and she would deliver various things before she then stood down. I don’t think that will happen with Boris. He’ll hang on.’ 

Another senior MP who has been generally supportive of Mr Johnson told MailOnline that anything more than 100 MPs voting against him would be ‘very bad’, arguing that the 150-plus MPs on the payroll are already priced in. 

‘He will win, but how much he wins by is the most important thing. Fewer than 100 would be good, anything more very bad. The payroll vote has to back him, so people will look at whether he’s got a majority on the back benches,’ they said. 

The MP also grimly recalled that other leaders, such as Mrs May, had not survived for long even after winning a confidence vote. ‘These things never end well. The genie is out of the bottle,’ they said.

A Northern MP told MailOnline that the situation seemed more serious than previous flare-ups against Mr Johnson and predicted the number of rebels will be ‘higher than 100’. ‘There’s been a lack of people apart from the obvious ones who were willing to go on camera,’ they said. ‘No-one is expecting him to lose but it doesn’t seem full-throated approval.’  

Mr Johnson’s former communications director Will Walden said he would be taken ‘kicking and screaming’ out of No10. But he cautioned that history shows if a PM does not record a ‘convincing’ win then ‘ultimately you bleed to death’.  

‘Boris will be taken kicking and screaming out of the front door of Number 10. There is no way that the thing that he has wanted all his life he is going to give up easily on,’ he told the BBC.

‘The idea that Boris Johnson is going to go is for the birds, and it will take several people with revolvers in the room to convince him to go.’

However, a supportive MP argued that Mr Johnson only secured 51 per cent of the MP votes in the leadership contest. They told MailOnline: ‘There is clearly a hostile group of MPs who never liked Boris. The result should be judged if he gets more than last time.’ 

Scots Tory leader Ross U-turns AGAIN to vote against Boris Johnson

Scottish Tory leader Douglas Ross tonight confirmed he has performed yet another U-turn and will vote to remove Boris Johnson from power.

Mr Ross was the most senior Conservative to demand the PM step down, sending in a letter of no confidence in January. 

But he retracted the letter in March and backed Mr Johnson to stay in place, citing the war in Ukraine.

He repeated this position as recently as a fortnight ago when, after Sue Gray published her report, he backed him to continue. 

But this afternoon, after a vote of no confidence was called, he confirmed he was changing his mind yet again, saying he ‘cannot in good faith support Boris Johnson’.

‘I have heard loud and clear the anger at the breaking of Covid rules that we all did our best to follow, and even more so at the statements to Parliament from the Prime Minister on this topic,’ he said in a statement.

‘Having listened closely to people in Moray who re-elected me to represent them, and from many people across Scotland, now that this confidence vote is upon us, I cannot in good faith support Boris Johnson.

‘My vote tonight will support the motion of no confidence.’

Despite saying he would vote against the Prime Minister, Mr Ross added that he ‘can be proud of many of the successes his government have led on, particularly the Covid vaccine and the furlough scheme’. 

Sir Graham, who waited for the Queen’s Platinum Jubilee celebrations to end before notifying No10 last night and agreeing the timetable, said in a statement: ‘The threshold of 15 per cent of the parliamentary party seeking a vote of confidence in the leader of the Conservative Party has been exceeded.

‘In accordance with the rules, a ballot will be held between 1800 and 2000 today, Monday 6th June — details to be confirmed.

‘The votes will be counted immediately afterwards. An announcement will be made at a time to be advised. Arrangements for the announcement will be released later today.’

Sir Graham said he hoped there would be a ‘clear result’. Two Tories – Rob Roberts and David Warburton and are currently suspended from the whip – but another unnamed MP accused of rape was able to vote. 

Mr Johnson told the meeting this evening: ‘I understand the anxieties of people who have triggered this vote’.

He added: ‘I humbly submit to you that this is not the moment for a leisurely and entirely unforced domestic political drama and months and months of vacillation from the UK.’

At a time when Vladimir Putin’s forces are fighting in Ukraine, Mr Johnson said: ‘This is the moment for us to lift our gaze from our navel.’

He warned MPs not to ‘dance to the tune of the media’ and called for an end to the ‘media-driven focus on the leadership of the Conservative Party’.

In an attempt to win round low-tax Conservatives, Mr Johnson said: ‘Everyone understands the fiscal impact of Covid, the cost of clearing the backlogs, but the way out now is to drive supply side reform on Conservative principles and to cut taxes.’

In a letter to Conservatives earlier, Mr Johnson wrote: ‘I know that over recent months I have come under a great deal of fire, and I know that experience has been painful for the whole party.

‘Some of that criticism has perhaps been fair, some less so. Where there have been valid points, I have listened and learned and made significant changes.

‘And I will of course continue to listen and learn from colleagues about the improvements you wish to see.

‘But I cannot stress too much that we have a golden chance to put this behind us now.

‘With your support, I believe that tonight we have a great prize within our grasp. We can put an end to the media’s favourite obsession. We can get on with the job without the noises off.

‘And I am absolutely confident that if we can unite in the days ahead then in due course we will win again, repay the trust of the 14million who voted for us, and continue to serve the country we love.’

Rebels v loyalists: What MPs said 

Jeremy Hunt: ‘Anyone who believes our country is stronger, fairer & more prosperous when led by Conservatives should reflect that the consequence of not changing will be to hand the country to others who do not share those values. Today’s decision is change or lose. I will be voting for change.’

John Penrose: ‘The only fair conclusion to draw from the Sue Gray report is that you have breached a fundamental principle of the Ministerial Code – a clear resigning matter.’ 

Jesse Norman: ‘You are the leader of the Conservative and Unionist party, yet you are putting the Union itself gravely at risk.’ 

Douglas Ross: ‘Having listened closely to people in Moray who re-elected me to represent them, and from many people across Scotland, now that this confidence vote is upon us, I cannot in good faith support Boris Johnson,’ 

Angela Richardson: ‘From the very beginning of the issues surrounding the Prime Minister’s conduct during the lockdown period and his subsequent answers to parliamentary questions, I have been consistent in my views about the standards people expect of those in high office.’ 

Andrew Mitchell: ‘He needs to look himself in the mirror and ask himself what is in the best interests of our country and of our party.’ 

Rishi Sunak: ‘From the vaccine rollout to our response to Russian aggression, the PM has shown the strong leadership our country needs.’  

Michael Gove: ‘I’ll be voting for Boris this evening. The PM got the big decisions right on Brexit and Covid.’ 

A Downing Street spokesman made clear the PM is going to fight. ‘Tonight is a chance to end months of speculation and allow the government to draw a line and move on, delivering on the people’s priorities,’ the spokesman said. 

‘The PM welcomes the opportunity to make his case to MPs and will remind them that when they’re united and focused on the issues that matter to voters there is no more formidable political force.’

Mr Johnson is believed to have gathered close aides and election guru Lynton Crosby in No10 last night to consider his plan of attack after being notified of the confidence vote. 

They decided to send the personalised letters to all MPs, and play up the idea that he personally was the one who secured 14million votes at the 2019 election. 

The confidence vote announcement came after former minister Jesse Norman – a long-term supporter of the PM – accused him of ‘grotesque’ behaviour over Partygate in an excoriating letter.

Mr Norman warned that any breach of the Northern Irish Protocol would be ‘economically very damaging, politically foolhardy and almost certainly illegal’.

‘You are the leader of the Conservative and Unionist party, yet you are putting the Union itself gravely at risk,’ he told Mr Johnson.

He said the Government’s Rwanda policy was ‘ugly, likely to be counterproductive and of doubtful legality’ and that plans to privatise Channel 4 were ‘unnecessary and provocative’.

Another ex-minister, Andrew Mitchell, said he will be voting against Mr Johnson even though he had not submitted a letter. 

‘I very much fear if he does win tonight it will be a Pyrrhic victory,’ he told BBC Radio 4’s The World at One.

‘He needs to look himself in the mirror and ask himself what is in the best interests of our country and of our party.’

Mr Mitchell said that after a visit he made to a beacon-lighting event in his Sutton Coldfield constituency to mark the Platinum Jubilee, it was clear the public had turned against Mr Johnson.

‘As I walked through the crowd it was very clear that the Prime Minister has not only lost the dressing room he has also lost quite a lot of people in the stands,’ he said.

Boris Johnson (pictured speaking to Ukraine's president Zelensky today) has sent a letter to MPs pleading for them to 'draw a line' under the infighting, after backbench chief Graham Brady confirmed this morning that at least 54 MPs have asked for a full ballot

Boris Johnson (pictured speaking to Ukraine’s president Zelensky today) has sent a letter to MPs pleading for them to ‘draw a line’ under the infighting, after backbench chief Graham Brady confirmed this morning that at least 54 MPs have asked for a full ballot

Culture Secretary Nadine Dorries launched a vicious retort at Mr Hunt after he joined the rebellion against the PM

Culture Secretary Nadine Dorries launched a vicious retort at Mr Hunt after he joined the rebellion against the PM

The premier received a limited boost from a snap poll by Opinium showing that although voters overall want Tories to oust him, Conservative supports would rather keep him on by a margin of 53 per cent to 34 per cent

The premier received a limited boost from a snap poll by Opinium showing that although voters overall want Tories to oust him, Conservative supports would rather keep him on by a margin of 53 per cent to 34 per cent

Cabinet ministers rallied round Mr Johnson after it emerged a confidence vote will be held tonight

Cabinet ministers rallied round Mr Johnson after it emerged a confidence vote will be held tonight

Backbench chief Graham Brady confirmed this morning that at least 54 MPs have asked for a full ballot, and one will be held between 6pm and 8pm

Backbench chief Graham Brady confirmed this morning that at least 54 MPs have asked for a full ballot, and one will be held between 6pm and 8pm

While other ministers spend this morning tweeting their support of the Prime Minister, she pointedly tweeted ... about attending a D-Day ceremony in Portsmouth, where she is an MP.

While other ministers spend this morning tweeting their support of the Prime Minister, she pointedly tweeted … about attending a D-Day ceremony in Portsmouth, where she is an MP.

Boris’s speech to Tory MPs at the 1922 committee in full 

Graham many thanks for convening this meeting and I have to tell you I am glad that this vote is finally taking place.

Because tonight we have a chance to end the media-driven focus on the leadership of the conservative party, and if you will give me your support tonight we have the chance to stop talking about ourselves and start talking exclusively about what we are doing for the people of this country.

And instead of getting into some hellish groundhog day debate about the merit of belonging to the single market, relitigating questions that we settled two and a half years ago, we can get on.

We can deliver and we can unite, and you all know what an incredible force we can be when we are united.

The people in this room won the biggest electoral victory for the Conservatives for 40 years under my leadership.

And if you don’t believe that we can come back from our current position, and win again then you haven’t looked at my own record or the record of this party.

Because I tell you what builds trust in a government. It’s delivery.

It’s doing the difficult things you promise to do, and when you ask yourself what kind of government this is – and what it has to offer in the coming years – look at the energy and drive we brought to ending the Brexit crisis.

And whatever else they may say about me, do you really think that anyone else would have done it.

And look at the vaccine roll-out, the doors we kicked in to get that done at the speed we needed.

And look at the decision to be the first European country to arm the Ukrainians. Not something our system initially found easy to accept.

And I am proud of the leadership the UK has shown, and when I talked to Volodymyr Zelenskyy this morning it was absolutely clear that a strong UK position is needed more than ever, because of course the pressures are growing on Ukraine to accept a bad peace deal.

And of course I understand the anxieties of people who have triggered this vote, but I humbly submit to you that this is not the moment for a leisurely and entirely unforced domestic political drama and months and months of vacillation from the UK.

This is the moment for us to lift our gaze from our navel, and remember that the impact of Putin’s aggression is being felt not just in Ukraine but by our voters.

And again I believe we can be proud of the help the government is giving. £1200 for the 8m most vulnerable homes in the country.

And remember that the only reason we can afford this help is because we took the tough decisions during the covid crisis to move forward.

That’s why we had the fastest growth in the G7 last year. And that’s why unemployment is now at the lowest level since 1974.

But we all know that you can’t spend your way out of inflation, and you can’t tax your way to growth.

Under the programmes that we have already begun we are laying the foundations for long term increases in productivity, with infrastructure, skills and technology, we are levelling up across the country

And so now is precisely the moment to recognise that sometimes government can’t do everything.

And that it is time to end the learned helplessness of Covid, and to drive a Conservative programme of reform and change and cutting costs.

We need to cut the costs of government. We need to cut the costs of business. And we need to cut the costs of families up and down the country.

Look at central government – it is crazy that we have 91,000 more in Whitehall – a 23 per cent increase – than there were in 2015.

We have the best civil service in the world, but we can do things better and more cheaply. Let’s take family budgets.

Why should the cost of transport be inflated by outdated practices that have nothing to do with safety.

Why should the cost of childcare be pushed up by unnecessary rules on child-minding.

Why should the cost of energy be pushed by everything from the life cycles of the crustacea that may form on the legs of offshore windmills to the system that enables all electricity producers to charge the top marginal rate.

And then look at housing where price inflation has pushed the dream of ownership beyond so many young people.

Later this week – if I am here later this week and I very much hope that I will be – Michael gove and I will be setting out plans to kindle that dream of home ownership in the hearts of millions who currently believe it is beyond their means.

And then there is one chunk of household income that is the biggest of all.

And that is tax. Everyone understands the fiscal impact of covid, the cost of clearing the backlogs.

But the way out now is to drive supply side reform on Conservative principles and to cut taxes, and to drive investment in the UK taking advantage of brexit freedoms to cut everything from solvency 2 to mifid 2.

Because that is the way to drive growth and jobs, and my friends there is simply no way Labour can match this programme

They are still in the pocket of the union barons. They want to keep us locked into EU regulations.

And though they may live in great stuccoed townhouses in north London they deplore the dream of home ownership for everyone but themselves.

They would never have taken the decisions this government took to help the Ukrainians.

They would never have stood up to Putin, not when 8 of their front bench voted to scrap our independent deterrent.

They would be an utter disaster in office, forced to erode our precious union by an alliance with the SNP.

And the only way we will let that happen is if we were so foolish as to descend into some pointless fratricidal debate about the future of our party when frankly there is no alternative vision that I am hearing.

We have the right ideas for the time, we can get this country through a difficult time and by supply side reform and bearing down on taxation. We can unleash the potential of this country

Let us refuse to dance to the tune of the media. Let us refuse to gratify our opponents by turning in on ourselves

Let’s show this country that we understand that this is a moment to unite and to serve and if we can do that then believe you me.

Whatever they may say about me I will lead you to victory again, and the winners will be the people of this country

Rebels have been circulating a dossier branding Mr Johnson the ‘Conservative Corbyn’ and raising alarm about a looming electoral hammering from both Labour and the Lib Dems.

The rebels needed 180 votes to remove the Prime Minister – and he had an in-built advantage as around 170 Tory MPs are on the so-called ‘payroll vote’ because they have jobs as ministers, trade envoys, ministerial ‘bag carriers’ or party vice-chairmen.

It is a secret ballot though, so members of the government could oppose with premier without it becoming public.

One major problem for the rebels is the lack of an obvious replacement for Mr Johnson.

Rishi Sunak, previously regarded as the favourite, was also fined over Partygate and there is no other front runner.

Former Cabinet minister Mr Hunt has been touted as a contender, while Defence Secretary Ben Wallace is riding high with party grass roots. Tom Tugendhat is the only MP to have openly declared he wants to be PM. 

The reception for Mr Johnson at a Jubilee event at St Paul’s on Friday, which included booing mixed with cheering, seems to have swayed some MPs into joining the revolt.

Boris Johnson put a brave face on the situation at Jubilee celebrations with wife Carrie yesterday - despite having been informed by Sir Graham Brady shortly beforehand that he faces a no-confidence vote

Boris Johnson put a brave face on the situation at Jubilee celebrations with wife Carrie yesterday – despite having been informed by Sir Graham Brady shortly beforehand that he faces a no-confidence vote  

In a letter to the PM, Mr Penrose accused him of breaching the code on the grounds that he had failed to provide adequate leadership over Partygate.

Mr Penrose said: ‘The only fair conclusion to draw from the Sue Gray report is that you have breached a fundamental principle of the Ministerial Code – a clear resigning matter.

‘But your letter to your independent adviser on the Ministerial Code ignores this absolutely central, non-negotiable issue completely. And, if it had addressed it, it is hard to see how it could have reached any other conclusion than that you had broken the code.’

He added: ‘As a result, I’m afraid it wouldn’t be honourable or right for me to remain as your anti-corruption champion after reaching this conclusion, nor for you to remain as Prime Minister either.

‘I hope you will stand aside so we can look to the future and choose your successor.’

The PM’s official spokesman said Mr Johnson did not accept that he violated the code.

‘The Prime Minister addressed this last week. He set out his rationale on the code. Part of that involved correcting the parliamentary record at the earliest possible opportunity,’ the spokesman said.

‘The PM has set out his view in relation to the code and the fixed penalty notice that he received, both in terms of is overall response to Sue Gray but also addressing some of the points that were raised by Lord Geidt (the adviser on the code), last week.’

In what amounted to throwing his hat into the ring, Mr Hunt said: ‘Having been trusted with power, Conservative MPs know in our hearts we are not giving the British people the leadership they deserve.

‘We are not offering the integrity, competence and vision necessary to unleash the enormous potential of our country.

‘And because we are no longer trusted by the electorate, who know this too, we are set to lose the next general election.’

Who is Graham Brady? 

Known as the ‘shop steward’ of Tory MPs or the ‘mouthpiece’ of backbenchers, Sir Graham Brady is the chair of the powerful 1922 Committee.

The Committee’s role is to oversee the election of Conservative leaders, or confidence votes in a current leader.

It has historically been referred to as the ‘men in grey suits’ – due to its influence over a Tory leader’s fortunes.

Sir Graham became 1922 Committee chair shortly after David Cameron’s Coalition government came to power in May 2010.

The Altrincham and Sale West MP, who  was first elected to Parliament in 1997, had previously been a shadow minister but quit the role in 2007 due to Mr Cameron’s opposition to grammar schools.

The 55-year-old voted against same-sex marriage in 2013 and was a supporter of Brexit ahead of the EU referendum in 2016.

He was a critic of Theresa May’s Brexit deal, although he eventually voted in favour of it at the third time of asking. 

Sir Graham was also a frequent opponent of Covid lockdown restrictions imposed by Boris Johnson during the pandemic. 

In his role as 1922 Committee chair, Sir Graham oversaw the confidence vote in Mrs May in December 2018, which the former PM won by 200 votes to 117.

However, he did not oversee the election of Mr Johnson as Mrs May’s successor.

Sir Graham resigned as 1922 Committee chair in May 2019 in order to ‘consider’ making a leadership bid himself.

He never actually put himself forward as a leadership candidate and returned as 1922 Committee chair in September 2019.

Sir Graham was re-elected as chair in July last year after surviving a bid by allies of Mr Johnson to oust him from the powerful post. 

His role in Mrs May’s eventual downfall  as PM saw him revealed to have been the last person to meet with her before she spoke outside Number 10 to confirm her resignation in May 2019.

He was said to have gone into the meeting with an envelope of votes from the 1922 executive on whether to change the rules of the party to allow a second challenge to her leadership within 12 months.

Sir Graham is now poised to become the first ever 1922 chair to oversee two confidence votes in Tory leaders.

Guildford MP Angela Richardson said she would vote against Mr Johnson.

‘From the very beginning of the issues surrounding the Prime Minister’s conduct during the lockdown period and his subsequent answers to parliamentary questions, I have been consistent in my views about the standards people expect of those in high office,’ she said.

‘Last week, I made a statement following the publication of the full Sue Gray report that questioned whether those standards had been upheld.

‘The deep disappointment I expressed in a previous statement in January has not abated.

‘Given that, I will be voting no confidence in Boris Johnson this evening.’

As ministers toured broadcast studios, Mr Zahawi said it would be a ‘disaster’ if Mr Johnson was ousted – but refused to rule himself out as a candidate to replace him if it happened.

Mr Zahawi told BBC Radio 4’s The World At One programme: ‘It would be a disaster for us to now rid ourselves of a leader who has made the tough calls when it really mattered to this nation.

‘To change a prime minister is to destabilise this Government when there is war in Europe. To destabilise the Government is a recipe for failure and for loss and I am not in the business of doing that.’

Pressed to say whether he could be a candidate in a leadership election if Mr Johnson was defeated, Mr Zahawi said: ‘I am not going to do that because Boris will be our Prime Minister.’

In a round of interviews this morning, Health Secretary Sajid Javid said if Mr Johnson secures support from more than 50 per cent of MPs that will ‘draw a line’ under the revolt.

Sir Graham told journalists in Westminster: ‘I notified the Prime Minister yesterday that the threshold had been reached.

‘We agreed the timetable for the confidence vote to take place and he shared my view – which is also in line with the rules that we have in place – that that vote should happen as soon as could reasonably take place and that would be today.’

He refused to confirm how many letters had been received or when the threshold had been passed but said ‘it is slightly complicated because some colleagues had asked specifically that it should not be until the end of the Jubilee celebrations’.

In a letter to the PM posted on social media, Mr Norman, the MP for Hereford and South Herefordshire, said Mr Johnson had presided over ‘a culture of casual law-breaking’ in No 10 and that his claim to be vindicated by the Sue Gray report was ‘grotesque’. 

Some rebels are anxious that the timing could backfire as Mr Johnson is likely to win 50 per cent of the vote and survive. 

He would theoretically be immune from another challenge for a year, even though the party looks set for more punishment in two crucial by-elections later this month.

But Sir Graham acknowledged that those procedures could be changed.

‘Technically it’s possible for rules to be changed but the rule at present is there would be a period of grace,’ he told reporters.

Theresa May emerged victorious from a confidence vote, but was later forced to announce her resignation under threat that procedures would be redrawn to grant another ballot. 

Ministers Ben Wallace, Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak tipped to join former high-fliers Jeremy Hunt and Penny Mordaunt in any run to succeed PM  

Tory MPs have been licking their lips at the thought of entering No10 as Prime Minister for months as Boris Johnson’s backing within the party collapsed as a result of Partygate and other scandals.

Possible candidates to succeed him come from all wings of the party, from the libertarian right to the One Nation Tory centre.

Among the front-runners are Foreign Secretary Liz Truss and one of her predecessors in the post, Jeremy Hunt, both of whom have made little secret of their desire to take the top job.

Other candidates expected to join a leadership race include Defence Secretary Ben Wallace – who like Truss is very popular with grassroots Tories due to his tough position over the Ukraine war.

And outsiders could include people like Tom Tugendhat, the former British Army officer and chairman of the foreign affairs committee, and Mark Harper, the former chief whip turned critic of the PM’s handling of the Covid pandemic.

Boris Johnson is the only member of the Cabinet in negative territory in the latest ConservativeHome grassroots poll

Boris Johnson is the only member of the Cabinet in negative territory in the latest ConservativeHome grassroots poll

Here we look at the potential runners and riders in the event: 

Liz Truss 

  • 46-year-old Foreign Secretary and South West Suffolk MP
  • Has persistently been linked with a leadership challenge
  • Has used role to recreate some classic images of ex-PM Margaret Thatcher
  • Has faced a tough time with comments on the Ukraine conflict 

The 46-year-old  Foreign Secretary has been regularly linked with a tilt at No10. The former international trade secretary was promoted last year to succeed Dominic Raab.

The South West Norfolk MP has held a string of Cabinet posts under successive party leaders and is popular with the party grassroots.

But while she has been hawkish over the war in Ukraine, the conflict has hit her prospects after several stumbles. 

Prior to the February 24 invasion she visited Russia for talks with her Kremlin counterpart Sergei Lavrov, in which she overtly channeled the style of Margaret Thatcher on a similar trip 35 years previously.

Her use of Instagram to share images of her looking tough and commanding has also drawn comment. 

Liz Truss in Moscow this year

Margaret Thatcher in 1987

The Foreign Secretary posed for pictures in Red Square in a fur coat and hat, 35 years after the former Tory premier did the same on a visit to the then Soviet Union.

But she received a bit of a mauling from Putin’s attack dog, who said their talks had been like ‘the deaf talking to the blind’.

She was also criticised early in the conflict for urging Britons to go to fight for Russia even if they have no military experience, advice later contradicted by senior military figures.

But the Remain voter from 2016 has become a born-again Brexiteer in the years since, something that will aid her in any vote. 

As Foreign Secretary she has taken on responsibility for negotiating changes to the Brexit agreement with the EU to sort out the political impasse in Northern Ireland. A deadlock-breaking agreement is unlikely but unilateral action by the UK is being mooted, which could help boost her credentials.  

Jeremy Hunt

  • 46-year-old Foreign Secretary and South West Suffolk MP
  • Has persistently been linked with a leadership challenge
  • Has used role to recreate some classic images of ex-PM Margaret Thatcher
  • Has faced a tough time with comments on the Ukraine conflict 

Jeremy Hunt lost heavily to Boris Johnson in the 2019 leadership election that followed the resignation of Theresa May. 

But he is showing no signs of letting the mauling at the hands of Tory members dissuade him three years later.

The former minister turned Health Committee chairman has made a series of increasingly high profile public interventions on health policy in recent weeks. 

And he has consistently refused to rule out running to replace Boris Johnson if he quits. 

The former minister turned Health Committee chairman has made a series of increasingly high profile public interventions on health policy in recent weeks.

The former minister turned Health Committee chairman has made a series of increasingly high profile public interventions on health policy in recent weeks.

Last month he refused to say whether Boris Johnson was ‘honest’ as he warned the Prime Minister has a ‘big mountain to climb’ in winning back Tory voters.

The South West Surrey MP cast doubt on the PM’s ability to once again prove a Tory vote winner as he insisted it would be a ‘mistake’ to dismiss the party’s local election losses as ‘mid-term blues’. 

But the former Cabinet minister insisted now was not the time for renewed efforts to topple Mr Johnson and said he ‘hoped’ the PM would lead the Tories into the next general election.

The comments were seen as a warning shot to the PM – and a clear message to Tory MPs – that he is waiting in the wings should Mr Johnson continue to stumble. 

Like Truss he is a former Remain voter who has become a convert to the Brexit cause. He also has his own fair share of gaffs in his locker, including describing his Chinese wife Lucia – with whom he has two children – as ‘Japanese’ in an interview.   

Ben Wallace 

  • 52-year-old former British Army officer is Defence Secretary
  • He is currently the most popular minister with the Tory grassroots 
  • Sandhurst-educated father of three has led efforts to arm Ukraine to fight off the Russian invasion
  • Was targeted by Russian pranksters who managed to speak to him on a video call in March

Currently the most popular minister with Tory grassroots, according to the Conservative Home website. 

The Defence Secretary’s low profile has risen into full view as he emerged as one of the foremost Cabinet hawks on the Ukraine War. 

The 52-year-old former Scots Guards officer has been at the forefront of efforts to supply Kyiv with weapons and expertise to fight off the Russian invasion, which has boosted his support base and name recognition.

The Sandhurst-educated father of three has overcome a Russian attempt to humiliate him after a Kremlin-backed prankster managed to get through to him on a video call, parts of which were later broadcast on YouTube.

He was asked if he supported Ukraine’s ‘nuclear aims’ by a man claiming to be the PM of Ukraine.

He has also avoided being implicated in the worst failures of the UK’s retreat from Afghanistan last summer, with blame being generally laid at the door of the Foreign Office.

The Defence Secretary's low profile has risen into full view as he emerged as one of the foremost Cabinet hawks on the Ukraine War.

The Defence Secretary’s low profile has risen into full view as he emerged as one of the foremost Cabinet hawks on the Ukraine War.

Last week he confirmed Britain is to arm Ukraine with precision-guided M270 rockets that have a range of up to 50 miles to help match Russia’s artillery arsenal.

Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky has demanded heavier weapons to counter Russia’s artillery. Germany and the US have also pledged long-range weapon systems.

Today he tweeted: ‘In 2019 Boris won with a majority of 80. He has delivered victories in seats we have never held before. 

‘On Covid, on Ukraine he has helped deliver a world leading response. He has my full confidence.’

Rishi Sunak 

  • Chancellor was top-rated minister at the end of 2021 after Covid largesse
  • But profile has gone into freefall after a series of controversies in 2022
  • Wife revealed to be a non-dom taxpayer living in Downing Street
  • Sunak himself also faced questions over US Green Card possession 

At the end of 2021 the Chancellor was the number one candidate to succeed Boris Johnson. 

His largesse with taxpayers’ cash during the Covid crisis – furlough payments and other measures – and slick social media campaigns made him widely popular within the party and with the wider electorate.

It was a rapid rise to the top for a minister who only became Chancellor weeks before lockdown kicked in early in 2020. 

But the popularity of ‘Brand Rishi’ has taken a tumble in 2022 amid a series of controversies and rows with No10.

In the spring it was revealed his multi-millionaire heiress wife Akshata Murty was revealed to be living in Downing Street while having non-dom tax status.

At the end of 2021 the Chancellor was the number one candidate to succeed Boris Johnson.

At the end of 2021 the Chancellor was the number one candidate to succeed Boris Johnson.

Rishi Sunak was hit by a political backlash over the news that his heiress wife Akshata Murty was domiciled in India for tax purposes

Sunak told the Sun: 'I'm an elected politician. So I know what I signed up for. It's different when people are trying to attack you by coming at your family and particularly your wife. It's unpleasant, especially when she hasn't done anything wrong'

Rishi Sunak was hit by a political backlash over the news that his heiress wife Akshata Murty was domiciled in India for tax purposes

She has legally avoided paying a huge UK tax bill by paying £30,000 a year to register as based in India.

He insisted she hasn’t ‘done anything wrong’ while accusing his critics of ‘smearing her to get at him’. She later agreed to pay full UK tax.

Later it emerged Mr Sunak, a father of two and former international banker, himself held a US Green Card for a year into his term leading the Treasury. 

While the status would not save him any money on his tax bill, it carries a responsibility to make the United States ‘your permanent home’.

There were also a series of rows with No 10 after recovery spending and his involvement with Partygate: he received a £50 fine for attending Boris Johnson’s surprise – and rule-breaking – birthday party in No10 in June 2020, even though he claimed he was just passing through on his way to a meeting.

His supporters blamed No10 for embroiling him in the controversy, souring an already acidic relationship within Downing Street.  

Today he tweeted: ‘From the vaccine rollout to our response to Russian aggression, the PM has shown the strong leadership our country needs.

‘I am backing him today and will continue to back him as we focus on growing the economy, tackling the cost of living and clearing the Covid backlogs.’

Penny Mordaunt

  • Trade minister and Royal Navy reservist who backed Jeremy Hunt in 2019
  • Ignored other ministers tweeting support for PM to instead write about D-Day
  • She was the first woman to serve as defence secretary and was also international trade secretary
  • Appeared on reality TV show in 2014 wearing just a swimsuit 

Penny Mordaunt has already emerged as possibly one of the least subtle potential candidates to run.

While other ministers spend this morning tweeting their support of the Prime Minister, she pointedly tweeted … about attending a D-Day ceremony in Portsmouth, where she is an MP. 

‘Today I will be attending Portsmouth’s commemoration service to remember the efforts and sacrifice of #DDay,’ she wrote.

The Brexiteer, 49, a naval reservist who once appeared on reality TV in a swimsuit, is popular with party members.

She was the first woman to serve as defence secretary and was also international trade secretary and is currently a trade minister. 

Supporters have pushed her credentials as the potential unity candidate any leadership race appears to lack – she is a Brexit voter who backed Jeremy Hunt in 2019. 

She was the first woman to serve as defence secretary and was also international trade secretary and is currently a trade minister.

She was the first woman to serve as defence secretary and was also international trade secretary and is currently a trade minister.

The Brexiteer, 49, a naval reservist who once appeared on reality TV in a swimsuit, is popular with party members.

The Brexiteer, 49, a naval reservist who once appeared on reality TV in a swimsuit, is popular with party members.

Ms Mordaunt hs already been on resignation watch once this year. In January she spoke out against a proposed £1.2 billion underwater electricity cable project backed by a Russian oligarch and major Tory donor.

She opposed plans by Aquind, co-owned by Alexander Temerko, to construct the interconnector under the Channel between Normandy and Portsmouth.

Temerko, who previously ran a firm producing weapons for Russia’s military, and Aquind have given more than £1 million to the Tories and the oligarch has regularly featured in photos at fundraisers with Prime Ministers and their Cabinets.

Government sources said Mordaunt was ready to quit if the cable was approved. The project was later rejected.

Tom Tugendhat: Iraq and Afghanistan veteran turned China and foreign affairs hawk

  • An Army reservist who served in Iraq and Afghanistan
  • The son of a high court judge and the nephew of a Tory peer.
  • Father of two said in 2017 that it would be ‘great to be PM’. 

Another Tory MP with military experience. Tugendhat, the chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee, is a confirmed Boris critic who has taken aim at the government over its attitude to China and the withdrawal from Afghanistan.

Some MPs believe the 48-year-old, an Army reservist who served in Iraq and Afghanistan, would be well-suited to the role and represents the ‘best chance for a fresh start’.

However, some are concerned about his lack of political experience and voting for a second posh PM in a row. He is the son of a high court judge and the nephew of a Tory peer.

Mr Tugendhat, who is married with two children, has previously made clear that he would fancy a tilt at the top job, saying in 2017 that it would be ‘great to be PM’. 

Some MPs believe the 48-year-old, an Army reservist who served in Iraq and Afghanistan, would be well-suited to the role and represents the 'best chance for a fresh start'.

Some MPs believe the 48-year-old, an Army reservist who served in Iraq and Afghanistan, would be well-suited to the role and represents the ‘best chance for a fresh start’.

He was a member of the Territorial Army when the Iraq War broke out in 2003 and he was mobilised as an Arabic-speaking intelligence officer to serve with the Royal Marines. He went into Iraq as part of Operation TELIC – the initial invasion.

After the war he returned to a job in the City of London but then went back to Iraq to help with the economic reconstruction of the country.

In 2006 the Foreign Office then asked Mr Tugendhat to go to Afghanistan to help grow its national security council. The Tory MP can speak Arabic, Dari and French.

The Tory MP was applauded in the House of Commons during a debate on the UK’s exit from Afghanistan in August 2021 as he detailed his experience in the country.

He told a silent chamber: ‘Like many veterans, this last week has seen me struggle through anger, grief and rage—through the feeling of abandonment of not just a country, but the sacrifice that my friends made.

‘I have been to funerals from Poole to Dunblane. I have watched good men go into the earth, taking with them a part of me and a part of all of us. This week has torn open some of those wounds, has left them raw and left us all hurting.’

Nadhim Zahawi: Minister who came to the UK as a child refugee and made a fortune 

  • Kurdish Iraqi arrived in the Uk as a refugee from Saddam Hussein’s regime 
  • One of the wealthiest members of Parliament, he set up polling company YouGov
  • He is said to have a property empire worth around £100million. 

Mr Zahawi is seen by some as an outside choice to replace the PM. He has a strong personal back story that culminated in him becoming the first Kurdish Iraqi MP.

The Education Secretary fled Saddam Hussein’s Iraq with his family when he was a child. Privately-educated at King’s College School in West London and University College London where he studied chemical engineering. 

One of the wealthiest members of Parliament, he went on to be named ‘entrepreneur of the year’ by Ernst & Young and set up successful polling company YouGov. 

He is said to have a property empire worth around £100million.

The Education Secretary fled Saddam Hussein's Iraq with his family when he was a child. Privately-educated at King's College School in West London and University College London where he studied chemical engineering.

The Education Secretary fled Saddam Hussein’s Iraq with his family when he was a child. Privately-educated at King’s College School in West London and University College London where he studied chemical engineering.

The father-of-three was elected MP in 2010 – the first Kurdish Iraqi to be elected to Parliament.

The Brexit-supporting minister is trusted by Number 10 and is a regular feature on the morning media round.

Despite initially backing Dominic Raab for Conservative party leader in 2019, he has been loyal to Mr Johnson ever since.

He was previously children’s minister from January 2018 to July 2019, during which time he attended the controversial Presidents Club Ball.

He was said to have been given a dressing down by the chief whip after complaints of sexism and harassment at the all-male gathering for the business elite.

During the MPs expenses scandal, he was forced to apologise for claiming taxpayers’ money to heat his stables on his Warwickshire estate.

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